Everything – Except the Polls – Points to a Romney Landslide
My friends, I’ve been looking at all the data that you have been looking at. I’ve been trying to separate feelings from thoughts and come up with some sort of an educated prognostication. You know, common sense tells me this election isn’t gonna be close and shouldn’t be. And yet every poll, every single poll, has this race tied. Obama’s up one, down one, tied, doesn’t matter where you go, ’til you get into the internals, then it gets really confusing or it doesn’t make any sense.
I’m just gonna be honest with you, for the longest time — and you people that have been regular listeners know this — I have said that as we get down to the election, the polls are gonna reflect what’s really gonna happen because the pollsters want to get it right for the future. That has not happened. It has not happened. There’s not one poll that gives either candidate an edge, not one pollster is willing to stick his neck out here. They’re all saying that this is tied, every which way from Sunday, at least in the overall popular vote, national surveys. Now, when you get into the internals it looks a little odd, and we’re gonna do that here at the beginning.
There’s also something that, I guarantee you if a football game had a different outcome yesterday, you would be hearing nothing but this today. But since the Washington Redskins lost at home on a game before the election, it means, what is it,18 of the last 19 elections, that the out-of-power party wins. Honest, it’s called the Redskins Rule, and it’s so well known you can look it up on Wikipedia. In the 18 presidential elections that have taken place since the Redskins moved to Washington in 1937, 17 have been predicted by the team’s performance at its final home game prior to the election.
If the Redskins win at home, the incumbent party wins the presidential race, 17 out of 18 times going back to 1940. If the Redskins lose at home, the challenger prevails. Well, the Redskins lost to the Carolina Panthers. That means Romney wins. I guarantee you, if the Redskins had won the game, that’s all you would be seeing on the media today. I guarantee you. You can’t find it anywhere. It’s only because I know the Redskins Rule that I was looking this up, and I did see a little blurb in one of the pregame shows before the football game started yesterday. I just saw a tail end of the blurb and I wasn’t sure so I went and looked it up, and that is what it is.