So here we are on October 1st, and the incumbent president is at 47% approval. There is no poll that shows Obama at 50% approval. And, folks, that means as much historically as any other poll with any detail. When the incumbent is at 47%… Even in the Public Policy Polling poll out of Ohio, he’s at just 49%. That number is amazing when you find out that 48% disapprove of Obama in that state. But I think they’ve given up North Carolina and they’ve given up Indiana. The states are dropping one by one.

He’s writing them off, despite the brave face of his media comrades out there — and they are trying to put on a brave face out there. I think it’s not looking good for them. This is not where they want to be, and they’ve got debates starting on Wednesday. What can Obama do but lie? (interruption) I don’t know what kind of impact the debates are gonna have until I see one. I’ll tell you Thursday what impact the debate had on Wednesday.

I can’t tell you now. See, everybody wants to know what I think. That’s what it’s like to be me. I will get no rest. Literally. Even on weekends, everybody comes to me looking for reassurance, confidence, and I’m happy to provide it. But I can’t tell you what the debate’s gonna be. All I know is that if Romney skunks Obama (I’m just telling you right now), the media the next day will say, “No big deal. It was expected. Romney does great in debates and Obama doesn’t do well.

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