Theory: Election Hinges on North Carolina

Well, let me share with you something I just saw today. Where did I see this? I think it was from the John Locke Foundation blog in North Carolina. I don’t have it in front of me. I was just looking for it while you were speaking. I thought I had printed it out but I didn’t so I have to do this off the top of my head, but that’s a pretty good piece and I think I’ve got this down pat. Here’s the theory. The theory is that the swing state in this election is going to be North Carolina, that Obama cannot win without it no matter what else he does.

Now, just follow me on this. I’m just telling what’s out there. That’s the reason Obama’s headed in there every other day. That’s why the convention is there. They won it in ’08 but they’re having problems now. And furthermore, the theory goes that this election is going to turn on 45,000 people in the Raleigh-Durham what is called The Triangle Area. These 45,000 people are upper middle-class families that make $75,000 a year, and they are apolitical. They are not committed Democrats or Republicans. But the way they line up is how this election is going to turn out. And the theory that’s espoused in this piece is that the only Republican these people are gonna vote for is Mitt Romney.

Without giving you all the detailed reasons, it has to do with the fact that they’re not political. It’s not that they’re moderates. It’s just that they’re apolitical. But, if at the time something comes along — and if, for example, the social issues are being discussed — whoever they perceive as being most aggressive, they’ll vote against. Whoever they perceive being most aggressive on the economy, they’ll vote against. These are people that are hands off. They distrust politicians and political people, and for whatever reason… Now, during the break I’m gonna print this out and I’m gonna get all the answers to the questions that you have as you listen to me explain this.



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